Howard Dean, American in Paris, talks election results

first_imgBy James Dwinell. Howard Dean, former governor of Vermont and former chair of the Democrat National Committee traveled to Paris earlier this week to share his conclusions on the 2010 mid-term elections. Billed as Vermont’s six-term governor, Dean followed Ms Anita Dunn, former White House communications director.Dean said, in part, ‘The data from these mid-term elections is interesting. There were fewer voters: fewer young people than in 2008, fewer people of color than in 2008, and consequently more white people. In exit polls, had this group of voters been the voters in 2008, their vote for president would have been evenly split between Senator McCain and President Obama. Another significant bit of information, forty-five of the newly elected Republican representatives were elected in districts which McCain won in 2008. The districts were really never Democratic districts. And most surprising, sixty-five percent of the voters would have voted to throw out all 535 representatives and senators if allowed to do so. Though an interesting election, do not think that this was a watershed election.‘This margin of victory for Republicans will not hold. In 2008 for the first time in modern electoral history, more people 18-35 year old voted than senior citizens. Obama, though not of this generation, is the first president of this generation. There is more difference than commonality in this group. The ideological ‘bandwidth’ is narrow. And lastly, though people in my generation worked for civil rights, we did not live with people of color, people of different sexual orientation, and people from different nationalities. The 18-35 demographic live in this diverse world and they date each other!!‘The tea party phenomenon was about saying that ordinary people matter.  I like that. Part of the tea party unease is that the ‘diverse’ Obama is in charge. This makes them uncomfortable. Part of the GOP anger is anti-immigrant and anti-gay. The tea party, being well out of the growing youth vote age range, will not be able to be as influential in the future.‘In 2012, the 18-35 age voting group will be the 18-39 year old group; in 2016 it will be the 18-43 year old group. As such, they, though with their diverse lifestyle, will be the largest voting block and will determine our leaders in the near future.‘Even with the energy of the tea party and the dozens of new GOP congressional seats, they will not attack the deficit which I think is a more serious problem than terrorism. We simply do not have the political will to attack it. We will not raise taxes; we will not cut the entitlements.’James Dwinell lives in Norwich. He attended the International Association of Political Consultants in Paris at which Dean was a featured speaker.last_img